Hey--here's an edited note where I clarify. I believe I'm using equivalent terms to Ayyadurai.

Also, I'm refuting a claim from someone else--the burden of proof is stronger when you're positing that a crime is occurring; whereas here I'm just showing that there are natural explanations to the trends Dr. Ayyadurai is calling fraudulent.


EDITED NOTE: Thank-you to the many respondents who have told me that the Y-axis quantity is explicitly the difference between straight-ticket voters for the Republican Party and votes for Trump. Straight-ticket voters have the option to manually choose individual candidates to override party defaults. Since a straight-ticket Republican vote with or without Trump is the equivalent to voting for all down-ballot Republicans, I’m dealing with the same quantity — I’ve just put it in more general terms. For the X-axis, Dr. Ayyadurai also uses this fraction straight-ticket Republican voters, whereas I keep it general and call it the “inferred % of Republican voters”. Again, these quantities are equivalent for the purposes of my analysis. As always, if you don’t agree and think it would change the results meaningfully, let me know.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store